Bernie Sanders is now trailing Hillary Clinton by only two points among registered Democrats, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll of California voters, putting the two Democratic candidates at a statistical tie.
The poll, which surveyed 557 likely Democratic voters by landline and cell phone from May 29-31, found that 47 percent of California’s likely Democratic primary voters preferred Sanders, while just 49 percent supported Clinton. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points.
When expanded to include all potential Democratic voters, including those marked with “No Party Preference” and comprising 991 voters, Sanders leads by one point. Furthermore, while Sanders led the pack in the usual categories that favor him — independents (68-26), those younger than 45 (66-30), and first-time voters (72-28) — he was also chosen by a majority of Latino respondents, as Sanders was chosen by 49 percent of likely voters compared to 46 percent for Clinton.
Voters’ responses may have been influenced by the recent release of the State Department Inspector General’s report over the use of Hillary Clinton’s private email server. As US Uncut previously reported, the report caught Clinton in several lies, and an AP fact check confirmed that Clinton deliberately misled the public on the purpose and security of her server. Politifact researched Clinton’s claim that her email server was “allowed” and rated it as “False.”
With just six days until Californians cast their ballots, the poll could signal a shift in momentum towards Sen. Sanders, who has been barnstorming the state for several weeks. Should the Vermont senator win the Golden State by a convincing margin and win a majority of California’s 475 pledged delegates, he could surge into the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia this summer with a convincing argument to swing superdelegate votes his way. One argument Sanders has consistently made is that he polls better than his primary opponent against presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump — which Politifact backed up as mostly true.
While Clinton only leads Sanders by 272 pledged delegates, the former Secretary of State leads Sen. Sanders in superdelegates by a 543-44 margin. Most of Clinton’s superdelegates committed to supporting her at least six months before the first primaries and caucuses. The Democratic nomination will likely come down to superdelegate votes at the party’s national convention, which will be held in late July.
Zach Cartwright is an activist and author from Richmond, Virginia. He enjoys writing about politics, government, and the media. Send him an email: firstname.lastname@example.org.